Texas Hold'em odds

[Snookslayer]

A friend recently started playing sit-n-goes, but he's new to the game. So I pointed him out a few odds that might help his game and some that are just interesting. Most of yall probably know all this, but I figured I'd share anyway. Please add any others that you find helpful or interesting.

Odds of getting any pocket pair... 16:1
Odds of that pocket pair making a set on the Flop.... 7.5:1
Odds of that pocket pair making a set on the Turn after missing the flop... 22.5:1. River is 22:1. Turn or River is 11:1 (all-in decision).

The point is obviously don't chase sets after missing the flop!!! 22:1 is sick.

Odds of pocket suited making a flush on the Turn when one out away... 4.2:1. River is 4.1:1. Turn or River is 1.9:1 (all-in decision).

So basically you need about 4 to 1 pot odds to justify calling a big bet after the flop. Knowing that puts chasing flush's in perspective, which is something most newbies don't. For open ended the straights the odds are slightly higher in that one-card-away situation, Turn is 4.9:1.

Some other stuff that isn't as helpful, but interesting:

Odds of pocket AA... 220:1
Odds of pocket AK... 82:1
Odds of pocket AK suited 331:1 (even higher than AA!)

Odds of suited pocket.... 4.2:1
Odds of suited pocket connectors... 24:1

Odds of flopping a pair (with pocket cards).... 1.5:1
Odds of flopping two pair... 48:1

:toast:

 

[Snookslayer]

Odds of pocket suited making a flush on the Turn when one out away... 4.2:1.

Oops. By "one out" I actually meant "one card".

 

[Bankit]

A friend recently started playing sit-n-goes, but he's new to the game. So I pointed him out a few odds that might help his game and some that are just interesting. Most of yall probably know all this, but I figured I'd share anyway. Please add any others that you find helpful or interesting.

Odds of getting any pocket pair... 16:1
Odds of that pocket pair making a set on the Flop.... 7.5:1
Odds of that pocket pair making a set on the Turn after missing the flop... 22.5:1. River is 22:1. Turn or River is 11:1 (all-in decision).

The point is obviously don't chase sets after missing the flop!!! 22:1 is sick.

Odds of pocket suited making a flush on the Turn when one out away... 4.2:1. River is 4.1:1. Turn or River is 1.9:1 (all-in decision).

So basically you need about 4 to 1 pot odds to justify calling a big bet after the flop. Knowing that puts chasing flush's in perspective, which is something most newbies don't. For open ended the straights the odds are slightly higher in that one-card-away situation, Turn is 4.9:1.

Some other stuff that isn't as helpful, but interesting:

Odds of pocket AA... 220:1
Odds of pocket AK... 82:1
Odds of pocket AK suited 331:1 (even higher than AA!)

Odds of suited pocket.... 4.2:1
Odds of suited pocket connectors... 24:1

Odds of flopping a pair (with pocket cards).... 1.5:1
Odds of flopping two pair... 48:1

:toast:

can you explain the red part?

I'm trying to learn pot odds etc
Is it worth it to call etc

 

[homerunhitter7]

can you explain the red part?

I'm trying to learn pot odds etc
Is it worth it to call etc

If you are one card away from a flush, you should only call a big bet if it is a fourth of the total pot. So 150 in the pot, call a bet of 50.

 

[Snookslayer]

If you are one card away from a flush, you should only call a big bet if it is a fourth of the total pot. So 150 in the pot, call a bet of 50.

Actually to call $50, there would need to be $200 in the pot to get 4:1 odds.

4.22:1 is the real odds on the Turn, but close is good enough. The times ya hit (once every four tries or so), the winnings should offset the difference.


..OUTS...........TURN..........RIVER............BOTH
<table class="border" border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td class="tableHeader">
</td><td class="tableHeader">
</td><td class="tableHeader">
</td><td class="tableHeader">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="border">1 Out</td><td class="border">46.00 to 1</td><td class="border">45.00 to 1</td><td class="border">22.50 to 1</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="border">2 Outs</td><td class="border">22.50 to 1</td><td class="border">22.00 to 1</td><td class="border">10.88 to 1</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="border">3 Outs</td><td class="border">14.67 to 1</td><td class="border">14.33 to 1</td><td class="border">7.01 to 1</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="border">4 Outs</td><td class="border">10.75 to 1</td><td class="border">10.50 to 1</td><td class="border">5.07 to 1</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="border">5 Outs</td><td class="border">8.40 to 1</td><td class="border">8.20 to 1</td><td class="border">3.91 to 1</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="border">6 Outs</td><td class="border">6.83 to 1</td><td class="border">6.67 to 1</td><td class="border">3.14 to 1</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="border">7 Outs</td><td class="border">5.71 to 1</td><td class="border">5.57 to 1</td><td class="border">2.59 to 1</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="border">8 Outs</td><td class="border">4.88 to 1</td><td class="border">4.75 to 1</td><td class="border">2.18 to 1</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="border">9 Outs</td><td class="border">4.22 to 1</td><td class="border">4.11 to 1</td><td class="border">1.86 to 1</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="border">10 Outs</td><td class="border">3.70 to 1</td><td class="border">3.60 to 1</td><td class="border">1.60 to 1</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="border">11 Outs</td><td class="border">3.27 to 1</td><td class="border">3.18 to 1</td><td class="border">1.40 to 1</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="border">12 Outs</td><td class="border">2.92 to 1</td><td class="border">2.83 to 1</td><td class="border">1.22 to 1</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="border">13 Outs</td><td class="border">2.62 to 1</td><td class="border">2.54 to 1</td><td class="border">1.08 to 1</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="border">14 Outs</td><td class="border">2.36 to 1</td><td class="border">2.29 to 1</td><td class="border">0.95 to 1</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="border">15 Outs</td><td class="border">2.13 to 1</td><td class="border">2.07 to 1</td><td class="border">0.85 to 1</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="border">16 Outs</td><td class="border">1.94 to 1</td><td class="border">1.88 to 1</td><td class="border">0.75 to 1</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="border">17 Outs</td><td class="border">1.76 to 1</td><td class="border">1.71 to 1</td><td class="border">0.67 to 1</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="border">18 Outs</td><td class="border">1.61 to 1</td><td class="border">1.56 to 1</td><td class="border">0.60 to 1</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="border">19 Outs</td><td class="border">1.47 to 1</td><td class="border">1.42 to 1</td><td class="border">0.54 to 1</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="border">20 Outs</td><td class="border">1.35 to 1</td><td class="border">1.30 to 1</td><td class="border">0.48 to 1</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="border">21 Outs</td><td class="border">1.24 to 1</td><td class="border">1.19 to 1</td><td class="border">0.43 to 1</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="border">22 Outs</td><td class="border">1.14 to 1</td><td class="border">1.09 to 1</td><td class="border">0.38 to 1</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[Snookslayer]

can you explain the red part?

I'm trying to learn pot odds etc
Is it worth it to call etc

13 cards of each particular suit. If you're holding 2 and 2 are on the flop, that leaves 9.

9 outs on the Turn = 4.22:1 odds. Compare bet you owe to the size of the pot and decide. For All-In decision it's 1.86:1 odds for Turn or River.


Obviously in real poker many other factors weigh in like chip-stack, close to bubble, number of other players, late/early in tourney, etc... Personally, even if I was getting correct odds I probably wouldn't put my tourney on the line, unless I was that desperately low stacked.

 

[Snookslayer]

The flip side of poker odds is it also shows how much you should bet so opponents aren't getting the right odds. A pot-sized bet (or close to it) is often appropriate in situations where flush or straight draws seem likely.

 

[Bankit]

I c how it works now, thanks

When are you pot committed?

 

[ProPokerPlayer]

If ur just playing SNG's then all of this goes out the window. THese kind of opportunities dont come up in SNG 's that often. In SNG's ,especially NL, its almost always raise or fold. Calling doesnt get u the money .....SNG 's in some ways are not even poker, they are strictly a strategy game..

Heres the cheapest way i know of to learn fast. go to sharkscoper.com...thats not sharkscope, there is an r added... there u can buy 10 credits for $49 and use those credits to watch the SNG training videos. Its the differance between winning and losing....dont play another hand till uve learned at least the basics...even at 1 ,2 and 3 dollars there are players who know a lil and ur just feeding them without SNG strategy knowledge...

 

[Snookslayer]

If ur just playing SNG's then all of this goes out the window.

I agree it's more applicable in cash games where you can afford to lose in the short term. In SNG's you just can't afford to lose a substantial portion of your stack, even if you are getting correct odds. So the "chasing" odds should be primarily factored in with smaller pots (relative to your chip stack).